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Emmanuel Ihim

The Real Reason President Tinubu is Declaring War on Niger

Updated: Aug 28, 2023

Unraveling Shadowy Agenda Amidst Presidential Election Controversy

By Emmanuel Ihim, Esq


A complex web of motives is unraveling in the heart of West Africa's political storm, revealing an intricate political imbroglio that threatens to reshape the region's democratic landscape. The focal point of this intrigue lies in the enigmatic actions of Nigeria's President, Bola Tinubu, whose role as Chairman of ECOWAS (Economic Community of West African States) has taken a perplexing and potentially dangerous turn. What initially seemed like diplomatic maneuvers in response to the coup that ousted Niger's President Mohammed Bazoum on July 26, 2023, now raises troubling questions about Tinubu's intentions and his nation's regional aspirations.

The roots of the fact derive from Nigeria's colossal presidential election on March 11, 2023 – a political event of unprecedented magnitude that reverberated far beyond its borders. The significance of this election was twofold: the potential to bolster Nigeria's democratic integrity and, by extension, to serve as a beacon of hope for democratic stability across the continent. Yet, the election's aftermath was marred by allegations of manipulation and impropriety, casting a shadow on the very essence of democracy.


Amidst this electoral discord, President Tinubu finds himself navigating treacherous waters, aiming to remedy the questionable legitimacy of his contested election. By raising the specter of war with Niger, Tinubu appears to be pursuing a dual agenda that not only distracts from his electoral shortcomings but also seeks to gain international recognition through conflict. His calculated actions, including suspending vital resources and blocking Nigerian borders with Niger, serve as a diplomatic smokescreen to legitimize his disputed presidency.

However, the implications of President Tinubu's actions are far-reaching. With the credibility of Nigeria's election in question, the regional democratic fabric is fraying. The recent coup in Niger is emblematic of the void left by Nigeria's tarnished electoral process, casting a destabilizing shadow over the region. The consequence of this power vacuum is an acceleration of coups in West Africa, eroding the democratic progress that the continent so desperately needs.


Tinubu's power manipulations lack constitutional backing, against the background that the Nigerian Senate's rejected his call for war. This single fact underscores the arbitrary nature of his actions. As the international community watches with wary eyes, his actions are read as erratic, driven by an overarching need to consolidate power in the face of impending electoral nullification.


The far-reaching ramifications of this narrative cannot be understated. As diplomatic tensions escalate and democratic principles waver, Africa's pursuit of stability and growth is at stake. The curtain of conflict threatens to engulf a region already grappling with governance challenges. The watchful gaze of the global community, civil society, and Nigerians in the Diaspora demands transparency, accountability, and adherence to the rule of law. The path to democracy cannot be mired by unilateral actions veiled in political expediency.


Amidst the tumultuous political climate, a collective plea emerges from the Diaspora – a call for reasoned judgment and impartiality from the esteemed Justices of the Appeal Court Tribunal. The judiciary's role as the safeguard of democracy assumes paramount importance, immune to external pressures, and committed to upholding the sovereignty of the Nigerian people.

In this narrative's evolving pages, the shadowed intentions of President Tinubu become increasingly apparent. The delicate balance between regional diplomacy, democratic legitimacy, and political aspiration hangs in the balance, demanding vigilance, accountability, and above all, respect for democratic values. As the spotlight shifts to Nigeria's judiciary and the region's stability, the ending to this chapter remains uncertain. Only time will reveal whether the whispers of conflict will evolve into a narrative of resolution, renewal, and democratic triumph.


· Emmanuel Ihim, Esq Lawyer, political reformer, and activist.

· A distinguished Human Right Advocate

· President, Diaspora Alliance, USA

· President, Diaspora Alliance;

· Convener, Diaspora Obedient Movement, USA.










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